Native American tribes are preparing to make their voices heard in a new conversation with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). A scheduled conference call is set to take place between tribal leaders and the CFTC, giving tribes the opportunity to raise concerns about federally regulated prediction markets.
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Leaders from tribal nations, including Rodney Butler of the Mashantucket Pequot Tribal Nation, intend to explain how prediction markets undercut both commercial and tribal gaming operations. Butler said, “It is a serious threat, and the CFTC needs to understand that and understand our concerns.” His comments came during a webcast hosted by the Indian Gaming Association.
The upcoming call follows the abrupt cancellation of a planned CFTC roundtable, where more than two dozen parties had submitted written feedback—including tribes. Many had hoped to discuss how prediction markets could affect tribal sovereignty and long-standing gaming agreements with states.
While prediction markets allow bets on everything from sports to politics and economics, the legality of sports-related contracts remains hotly debated. Several states, Maryland for example, have already issued cease-and-desist orders to operators such as Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com. Those firms responded with lawsuits, arguing that their operations fall under federal oversight and are not subject to individual state rules.
So far, federal courts have largely agreed with that reasoning. But as Joseph Webster, a tribal gaming attorney, pointed out during the webcast, one key voice has been missing from these decisions: the tribes themselves. “There hasn’t been a tribal voice, even though this has such a dramatic and direct impact on Indian country,” he said.
In a February letter to the CFTC, the California Nations Indian Gaming Association (CNIGA) called for a ban on sports event contracts. CNIGA Chairman James Siva argued that such contracts should not be allowed because they conflict with tribal rights to regulate gaming in their territories. “Trading of Sports Contracts is gaming, violates state and federal law, and is contrary to public policy for various reasons,” he wrote.
Siva also warned that allowing federally regulated prediction markets to offer these contracts undermines the legal authority of both states and tribes.
The situation has been made more uncertain by changes at the top of the CFTC. The commission currently lacks a permanent chair, and some commissioners may be on their way out. What the agency decides to do with the feedback it receives remains unclear.
Victor Rocha, chairman of the Indian Gaming Association’s conference, summed up the growing tension: “I think the only way this is going to be settled is through the courts.”