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Spain sits at the top of the World Cup 2026 outright market now that the tournament field is complete. Across FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, Hard Rock Bet, and BetUS, sportsbooks place La Roja ahead of the pack, while England and France sit just behind. Italy will not be part of the tournament after another failed qualification run, which removes one of the usual public teams from the board.
Good to Know
FanDuel lists Spain at +440 (5.40), Caesars at +400 (5.00), BetMGM at +450 (5.50), Hard Rock Bet at +425 (5.25), and BetUS at +450 (5.50). That gives Spain the shortest price across the board and keeps the European champion in front of the World Cup 2026 betting market. Spain went out in the Round of 16 in 2022, but the picture is different now, with Lamine Yamal added to the national team and already seen as one of the biggest talents in the sport.
The gap behind Spain is not large, and books split on the next team. FanDuel has England at +500 (6.00), while Caesars, BetMGM, and Hard Rock Bet put France closer to Spain. BetUS lists England at +550 (6.50) and France at +800 (9.00), which is longer than the other books and gives bettors a very different price point on Les Bleus.
England has produced strong results under Thomas Tuchel, including an 8-0-0 record in World Cup qualifying, and the team is aiming to win a first World Cup since 1966. France comes in with a recent track record that still carries weight in betting. The team won the 2018 World Cup and finished second in 2022, when Kylian Mbappe scored a hat trick in the final and also converted in the shootout before Argentina took the trophy. Didier Deschamps is also expected to hand over to Zinedine Zidane after the tournament.
Argentina and Brazil sit in the next group and are still priced close together. Argentina ranges from +700 (8.00) to +850 (9.50) in the original market comparison, while Brazil sits between +750 (8.50) and +800 (9.00). BetUS places both teams at +800 (9.00). Argentina arrives as defending champion, while Brazil still carries strong global betting interest despite not finishing higher than fourth since winning the World Cup in 2002.
Portugal, Germany, and the Netherlands form the next tier. Portugal ranges from +1,000 (11.00) to +1,200 (13.00), Germany from +1,100 (12.00) to +1,200 (13.00), and the Netherlands from +1,200 (13.00) to +2,000 (21.00). BetUS lists Portugal at +1100 (12.00) and Germany at +1200 (13.00). The Netherlands was not shown in the BetUS prices reviewed here. Norway and Belgium stay further back, but both remain on the longshot board.
| BetUS | FanDuel | Caesars | BetMGM | Hard Rock Bet | |
| Spain | +450 (5.50) | +440 (5.40) | +400 (5.00) | +450 (5.50) | +425 (5.25) |
| England | +550 (6.50) | +500 (6.00) | +625 (7.25) | +650 (7.50) | +575 (6.75) |
| France | +800 (9.00) | +600 (7.00) | +600 (7.00) | +550 (6.50) | +600 (7.00) |
| Argentina | +800 (9.00) | +750 (8.50) | +850 (9.50) | +800 (9.00) | +700 (8.00) |
| Brazil | +800 (9.00) | +750 (8.50) | +800 (9.00) | +800 (9.00) | +750 (8.50) |
| Portugal | +1,100 (12.00) | +1,100 (12.00) | +1,200 (13.00) | +1,000 (11.00) | +1,000 (11.00) |
| Germany | +1,200 (13.00) | +1,100 (12.00) | +1,200 (13.00) | +1,200 (13.00) | +1,200 (13.00) |
| Netherlands | — | +1,900 (20.00) | +1,200 (13.00) | +2,000 (21.00) | +2,000 (21.00) |
| Norway | — | +2,200 (23.00) | +3,000 (31.00) | +2,500 (26.00) | +2,500 (26.00) |
| Belgium | — | +3,000 (31.00) | +3,500 (36.00) | +3,300 (34.00) | +4,000 (41.00) |
Italy was still around the top 10 in World Cup odds as recently as last month at about +3,000, but the team will not travel to North America after a playoff final loss on penalties to Bosnia and Herzegovina. That makes it three straight World Cups without Italy, which is a major story for sportsbooks too because Italy usually attracts casual betting money on name recognition alone.
With Italy gone, the outright market becomes even more concentrated around Spain, England, France, Argentina, and Brazil. Spain has the shortest number, England has momentum under Tuchel, France still brings elite tournament pedigree, and Argentina and Brazil remain central names for futures betting traffic. For bettors comparing prices, the biggest differences in the current board sit with France, where BetUS is much longer than the other books, and with the Netherlands, Norway, and Belgium, where some operators are clearly more cautious than others.
Spain is the favorite across FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, Hard Rock Bet, and BetUS.
Spain ranges from 5.00 to 5.50 in decimal odds across the books compared here.
In the prices reviewed here, BetUS offers the longest France number at +800 (9.00).
Yes. BetUS lists both Argentina and Brazil at +800 (9.00).
No. Italy missed out after a playoff loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina, extending the absence to three straight World Cups.