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Polymarket has added prediction markets tied to private companies, giving users a way to bet on events linked to firms such as OpenAI, SpaceX, Stripe and Anthropic.
Good to Know
Private company investing usually stays limited to venture capital firms, institutions and accredited investors. Polymarket is now trying to bring retail users closer to that space, but through event contracts rather than shares.
Among the first markets, users can bet on whether OpenAI will pass a $1 trillion valuation by the end of 2026. Other contracts involve Anthropic, Anduril, SpaceX, Stripe, Kraken and Databricks.
The setup does not give traders any ownership stake. Instead, each contract works as an outcome-based wager. Nasdaq Private Market will supply the data used to settle the markets, including information tied to valuation milestones, IPO timing and secondary share activity.
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan said the launch fits the platform goal of opening more financial information to regular users.
“Today’s launch brings that power to one of the last frontiers of financial markets that retail participants have never been able to access,” Coplan said.
The deal also gives Polymarket a broader product range at a time when prediction markets are competing harder across sports, politics, finance and culture. For Nasdaq Private Market, the partnership adds a real-time public sentiment layer to an area where price signals often come slowly through funding rounds or secondary transactions.
Polymarket and Nasdaq Private Market said the products could offer “a new real-time signal for institutional investors” in private markets.