If you like offense, watch the Redskins and the Broncos on Sunday. More specifically, if you want to see two good offenses absolutely annihilate their defensive counterparts, watch the Skins and the Broncs. The Redskins are fresh off of allowing 41 points to JOSH MCCOWN and the Chicago Bears, while the Broncos can’t seem to stop anybody, giving up 39 to Indianapolis last week, and allowing Tony Romo and Dallas to almost put up 50 on them earlier in the year.
In case you missed the headlines last week, the Broncos are no longer undefeated. The last thing that you want to go up against is a pissed off Peyton Manning, but that’s what Jim Haslett and the Redskins defense have on Sunday. Denver’s -14 spread is a worthy one that shows me that Vegas knows that Peyton is going to have a field day. With that said, Robert Griffin III is slowly starting to put things back together and recapture his form from last season. While I expect the Broncos to lead this game from start to finish, I do expect Washington to cover the two touchdown spread, even if it is a backdoor cover.
The Washington Redskins are 6-14 in their last 20 games where they are a road underdog of more than seven points. However, they are 12-8 against the spread in those same games, showing that they can still keep it close even when the odds are stacked against them. And boy, are they stacked against them this week. Let’s not forget that the Redskins made the playoffs last year, and yet they are two touchdown underdogs this week! That kind of spread is usually reserved for the Jaguars and Raiders of the NFL, but as we mentioned before, given the circumstances surrounding this game, it’s not unjustified.
Redskins balanced on offense
The Redskins offense has the rare lethal combination of a top 10 passing and running attack. The Skins are 7th in the league in passing at 274 yards a game, and are 4th on the ground at 141 yards a game. They will need all of those yards and more on Sunday if they have any hope of keeping up with Peyton and the boys.
Here is a breakdown of what will likely happen on Sunday. Peyton Manning will easily march the Broncos down on their first drive, and the defense will be fired up at home and stuff RG3 on his first drive. Denver could easily march it down again, and just like that, the Skins are in a two score hole. From there, RG3 and Peyton will alternate touchdowns, with the occasional field goal, and rarely, a punt or two. RG3 has already shown this year that he can rack up garbage time yards and points, and that is what will happen on Sunday.
Do you love money? Bet the over
In case you couldn’t tell by now, I love, love, love the over on the 58 point spread in this game. If I were in Vegas, I would bet the farm on that line, as I think there’s a good chance it will be covered by the end of the third quarter. Let me show you a few numbers: 76, 64, 58, 72, 99, 54, and 72. Those are the point totals from the Broncos first seven games. Yes, only two games have been under 60 points, and Sunday can and should make it one more.
It’s tough to figure out what is going on with the Broncos defense. Von Miller is back from suspension, and should provide some big play making ability on that end. The stats state an obvious fact: the Broncos are ahead most of the time. The Broncos are first in the league against the run, allowing 77 yards a game, but are dead last against the pass, allowing 320 yards. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that the Broncos probably face more passes than any other defense, but their inability to stop the pass is still concerning.
Can the Redskins pull off the upset? Yes. Will they? I’d be shocked if they do. I think the Broncos will lead by 10-14 the whole game, and keep that win total at the end. The Broncos will score at least 30 points, and I have the final score pegged at 42-31, covering the over, and giving the Broncos the win, but the Skins the cover.